The current state of knowledge regarding uncertainties in urban drainage models is poor. This is in part due to the lack of clarity in the way model uncertainty analyses are conducted and how the results are presented and used. There is a need for a common terminology and a conceptual framework for describing and estimating uncertainties in urban drainage models. Practical tools for the assessment of model uncertainties for a range of urban drainage models are also required to be developed. This paper, produced by the International Working Group on Data and Models, which works under the IWA/IAHR Joint Committee on Urban Drainage, is a contribution to the development of a harmonised framework for defining and assessing uncertainties in the field of urban drainage modelling. The sources of uncertainties in urban drainage models and their links are initially mapped out. This is followed by an evaluation of each source, including a discussion of its definition and an evaluation of methods that could be used to assess its overall importance. Finally, an approach for a Global Assessment of Modelling Uncertainties (GAMU) is proposed, which presents a new framework for mapping and quantifying sources of uncertainty in urban drainage models.

Deletic, A., Dotto, C., McCarthy, D.T., Kleidorfer, M., Freni, G., Mannina, G., et al. (2012). Uncertainty in environmental and hydrological mathematical modelling. PHYSICS AND CHEMISTRY OF THE EARTH, 42-44(42), 3-10 [doi.org/10.1016/j.pce.2011.04.007].

Uncertainty in environmental and hydrological mathematical modelling

MANNINA, Giorgio;
2012-01-01

Abstract

The current state of knowledge regarding uncertainties in urban drainage models is poor. This is in part due to the lack of clarity in the way model uncertainty analyses are conducted and how the results are presented and used. There is a need for a common terminology and a conceptual framework for describing and estimating uncertainties in urban drainage models. Practical tools for the assessment of model uncertainties for a range of urban drainage models are also required to be developed. This paper, produced by the International Working Group on Data and Models, which works under the IWA/IAHR Joint Committee on Urban Drainage, is a contribution to the development of a harmonised framework for defining and assessing uncertainties in the field of urban drainage modelling. The sources of uncertainties in urban drainage models and their links are initially mapped out. This is followed by an evaluation of each source, including a discussion of its definition and an evaluation of methods that could be used to assess its overall importance. Finally, an approach for a Global Assessment of Modelling Uncertainties (GAMU) is proposed, which presents a new framework for mapping and quantifying sources of uncertainty in urban drainage models.
Settore ICAR/03 - Ingegneria Sanitaria-Ambientale
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1474706511000623
Deletic, A., Dotto, C., McCarthy, D.T., Kleidorfer, M., Freni, G., Mannina, G., et al. (2012). Uncertainty in environmental and hydrological mathematical modelling. PHYSICS AND CHEMISTRY OF THE EARTH, 42-44(42), 3-10 [doi.org/10.1016/j.pce.2011.04.007].
File in questo prodotto:
File Dimensione Formato  
GM_J0512.pdf

accesso aperto

Dimensione 592.41 kB
Formato Adobe PDF
592.41 kB Adobe PDF Visualizza/Apri

I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.

Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/10447/63027
Citazioni
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.pmc??? ND
  • Scopus 109
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.isi??? 0
social impact