We are interested in numerically investigating the statistical properties of extreme values for strongly correlated variables. The main motivation for this study is to understand how the strong-correlation properties of power-law distributed processes affect the possibility of exploring the whole domain of a stochastic process when performing time-average numerical simulations. This problem is relevant when investigating the convergence properties in the numerical evaluation of the autocorrelation function of a stochastic process. In fact, by performing extensive numerical simulations we observe that for power-law correlated variables whose probability distribution function decays like a power-law $1/x^\alpha$, the maximum distribution has a tail compatible with a decay, $1/Z^{\alpha+2}$ while for i.i.d. variables we expect a $1/Z\alpha$ decay. As a consequence, we also show that the numerically estimated autocorrelation function converges to its theoretical prediction according to a factor that depends on the length of the simulated time-series n according to a power-law: $1/n^{\alpha^\delta}$ with $\delta<1$. This accounts for a very slow convergence rate.

Salvatore Micciche (2025). Role of correlations in the maximum distribution of strongly correlated stationary Markovian processes. CHAOS, SOLITONS AND FRACTALS, 192, 115995-1-115995-6 [10.1016/j.chaos.2025.115995].

Role of correlations in the maximum distribution of strongly correlated stationary Markovian processes

Salvatore Micciche
Primo
2025-01-14

Abstract

We are interested in numerically investigating the statistical properties of extreme values for strongly correlated variables. The main motivation for this study is to understand how the strong-correlation properties of power-law distributed processes affect the possibility of exploring the whole domain of a stochastic process when performing time-average numerical simulations. This problem is relevant when investigating the convergence properties in the numerical evaluation of the autocorrelation function of a stochastic process. In fact, by performing extensive numerical simulations we observe that for power-law correlated variables whose probability distribution function decays like a power-law $1/x^\alpha$, the maximum distribution has a tail compatible with a decay, $1/Z^{\alpha+2}$ while for i.i.d. variables we expect a $1/Z\alpha$ decay. As a consequence, we also show that the numerically estimated autocorrelation function converges to its theoretical prediction according to a factor that depends on the length of the simulated time-series n according to a power-law: $1/n^{\alpha^\delta}$ with $\delta<1$. This accounts for a very slow convergence rate.
14-gen-2025
Settore PHYS-06/A - Fisica per le scienze della vita, l'ambiente e i beni culturali
Salvatore Micciche (2025). Role of correlations in the maximum distribution of strongly correlated stationary Markovian processes. CHAOS, SOLITONS AND FRACTALS, 192, 115995-1-115995-6 [10.1016/j.chaos.2025.115995].
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/10447/669470
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