Based on the coherence principle of de Finetti and a related notion of generalized coherence (g-coherence), we adopt a probabilistic approach to uncertainty based on conditional probability bounds. Our notion of g-coherence is equivalent to the 'avoiding uniform loss' property for lower and upper probabilities (a la Walley). Moreover, given a g-coherent imprecise assessment by our algorithms we can correct it obtaining the associated coherent assessment (in the sense of Walley and Williams). As is well known, the problems of checking g-coherence and propagating tight g-coherent intervals are NP and FP^NP complete, respectively, and thus NP-hard. Two notions which may be helpful to reduce computational effort are those of non relevant gain and basic set. Exploiting them, our algorithms can use linear systems with reduced sets of variables and/or linear constraints. In this paper we give some insights on the notions of non relevant gain and basic set. We consider several families with three conditional events, obtaining some results characterizing g-coherence in such cases. We also give some more general results.
Gilio, A., Biazzo, V., Sanfilippo, G. (2003). Some results on generalized coherence of conditional probability bounds. In ISIPTA '03 : Proceedings of the Third International Symposium on Imprecise Probabilities and Their Applications held in Lugano, Switzerland (pp.62-76).
Some results on generalized coherence of conditional probability bounds
SANFILIPPO, Giuseppe
2003-01-01
Abstract
Based on the coherence principle of de Finetti and a related notion of generalized coherence (g-coherence), we adopt a probabilistic approach to uncertainty based on conditional probability bounds. Our notion of g-coherence is equivalent to the 'avoiding uniform loss' property for lower and upper probabilities (a la Walley). Moreover, given a g-coherent imprecise assessment by our algorithms we can correct it obtaining the associated coherent assessment (in the sense of Walley and Williams). As is well known, the problems of checking g-coherence and propagating tight g-coherent intervals are NP and FP^NP complete, respectively, and thus NP-hard. Two notions which may be helpful to reduce computational effort are those of non relevant gain and basic set. Exploiting them, our algorithms can use linear systems with reduced sets of variables and/or linear constraints. In this paper we give some insights on the notions of non relevant gain and basic set. We consider several families with three conditional events, obtaining some results characterizing g-coherence in such cases. We also give some more general results.File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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